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Will TikTok be effectively banned in the US in 2026?

Open·Closes 8mo·Vol 0 credits

Probability

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Yes50%
Volume: 0 credits

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About

After years of negotiation, will TikTok actually be unavailable to new US users on the App Store / Play Store at any point during 2026?

Resolution criteria

YES if TikTok is removed from the US App Store and US Play Store for any continuous period of at least 7 days during 2026.

Source
Apple App Store, Google Play Store, mainstream news.
Ambiguity
AMBIGUOUS if removed from only one of the two stores.
tiktokbanbeginner

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