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Will the phrase "sophisticated nation-state actor" appear in 5 or more distinct breach disclosures in 2026?

Open·Closes 9mo·Vol 0 credits

Probability

connecting…
Yes50%
Volume: 0 credits

Not enough trades yet to draw a history.

About

Resolves YES if at least five distinct organisations issue 2026-dated breach notifications or 8-K filings containing the exact phrase "sophisticated nation-state actor" (case-insensitive, contiguous).

Resolution criteria

Five or more distinct organisations (parent companies count once) with breach disclosures dated within 2026 that contain the exact phrase.

Source
SEC EDGAR full-text search; state AG breach-notification databases (CA, ME, MA, WA); company press releases.
Ambiguity
AMBIGUOUS if exactly four or five disclosures are found and one is contested as duplicative or as not being a "breach disclosure".
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