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Will law enforcement take down at least one major ransomware gang in 2026?

Open·Closes 8mo·Vol 0 credits

Probability

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Yes50%
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About

After LockBit, Hive, BlackCat, and others, will at least one more major ransomware operation be publicly disrupted by law enforcement in 2026?

Resolution criteria

YES if a Five Eyes / EU member state law-enforcement agency publicly announces a takedown, indictment, or seizure targeting a named ransomware operation in 2026.

Source
fbi.gov press releases, justice.gov, europol.europa.eu, NCA.gov.uk.
Ambiguity
AMBIGUOUS if the action is described only as "disruption" without naming a specific group.
law-enforcementtakedownbeginner

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