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Will the 2026 NIST PQC migration deadline for federal CNSA 2.0 systems slip?

Open·Closes 8mo·Vol 0 credits

Probability

connecting…
Yes50%
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About

CNSA 2.0 carries phased PQC adoption deadlines for National Security Systems. Resolves YES if NSA or CISA publishes formal guidance in 2026 extending any CNSA 2.0 milestone date that was, as of 1 Jan 2026, scheduled to fall within 2026.

Resolution criteria

A new official CNSA 2.0 advisory dated in 2026 that pushes a 2026 milestone to a later date.

Source
NSA Cybersecurity Advisories; CISA PQC initiative pages.
Ambiguity
AMBIGUOUS if the slip is communicated only verbally at conferences without written advisory update.
pqcnistcnsa-2post-quantum

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