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Will the cybersecurity industry coin a new named threat-actor group with the prefix "TA-" or "APT-" in 2026?

Open·Closes 9mo·Vol 0 credits

Probability

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Yes50%
Volume: 0 credits

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About

Resolves YES if any major TI vendor (Mandiant/Google TI, Microsoft Threat Intelligence, CrowdStrike, Proofpoint, Cisco Talos, Recorded Future) publicly attributes a 2026 incident to a newly named actor whose identifier begins with TA or APT followed by a number (e.g., TA499, APT45).

Resolution criteria

Vendor blog or report dated in 2026 introducing a new identifier matching the pattern.

Source
Vendor TI blogs and quarterly reports.
Ambiguity
AMBIGUOUS if the identifier was used internally before 2026 but only publicly disclosed in 2026.
attributionthreat-intelnaming

Discussion

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