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Will the US declare a cyber-related national emergency in 2026?

Open·Closes 8mo·Vol 0 credits

Probability

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Yes50%
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About

The US has used IEEPA-based national emergency declarations for cyber several times. Will the President declare or extend a cyber-specific national emergency in 2026?

Resolution criteria

YES if the President issues an executive order or notice in 2026 declaring or extending a cyber-related national emergency under IEEPA.

Source
federalregister.gov, whitehouse.gov briefing room.
Ambiguity
AMBIGUOUS if a non-cyber EO incidentally references cyber.
executive-ordernational-securitybeginner

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