Will a crypto exchange lose more than $100M to hackers in 2026?
Probability
connecting…Yes50%
Volume: 0 credits
Not enough trades yet to draw a history.
About
Crypto-exchange hacks for nine-figure sums happen every year. Will at least one publicly-traded or top-20 crypto exchange disclose a single hack of more than $100M USD in 2026?
Resolution criteria
YES if any top-20 crypto exchange (by 24h volume on CoinGecko at the time of the incident) reports a single security incident with losses over $100M USD in 2026.
- Source
- CoinGecko, CoinDesk, Chainalysis, exchange statements.
- Ambiguity
- AMBIGUOUS if losses span multiple incidents none of which individually exceeds $100M.
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Discussion
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