Will worldwide ransomware payments in 2026 (per Chainalysis) exceed $1.5B USD?

About

Chainalysis publishes an annual ransomware revenue figure typically in February to April. Resolves YES if its first published 2026-full-year ransomware revenue figure exceeds $1.5B USD.

Resolution criteria

First Chainalysis 2026 figure (Crypto Crime Report or pre-release blog) exceeds $1.5B for total 2026 ransomware payments.

Source

Chainalysis blog; Chainalysis Crypto Crime Report 2026.

Ambiguity

AMBIGUOUS if Chainalysis is acquired/discontinued before publishing or restates within 30 days from above to below the threshold.

Discussion

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