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A frontier AI lab announces a new safety / red-team finding in next 7 days?

Open·Closes 2d·Vol 0 credits

Probability

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Yes50%
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About

Resolves YES if Anthropic, OpenAI, Google DeepMind, or xAI announces a new safety evaluation finding, alignment research result, or red-teaming outcome within 7 days.

Resolution criteria

Resolves YES if Anthropic, OpenAI, Google DeepMind, or xAI announces a new safety evaluation finding, alignment research result, or red-teaming outcome within 7 days.

Source
lab official channels
Ambiguity
Resolves NO if no qualifying event occurs in the window.
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